Sonic Star
Grand Master
- Joined
- 29 Sep 2015
- Messages
- 12,492
- Reaction score
- 4,774
You must be logged in to view threads on this forum. Please sign up by clicking here to continue viewing content on the mighty South Sydney Rabbitohs.
50 points against is unbelievable considering we were conceding an average of over 30 points a game and with the backline we have had to put out there. The rain has definitely helped, but Furner deserves a lot of credit.
Yet some people on here continue to write us off. Go figure.
It’s all looking good right this second.Yet some people on here continue to write us off. Go figure.
It will also depend on injuries and suspensions to both our team and opposing teams. I reckon we're due a good run home in that department. Well I hope is what I probably should have said..It’s all looking good right this second.
The upcoming tests will be:
- Winning against teams you’re expected to beat (we look solid there at the moment),
- Winning against teams that are solid and don’t hand you the result,
- Winning against teams with genuine premiership cred.
And finally, can we do that consistently for 10 weeks.
It’s all very exciting considering our season probably should have been dead and buried weeks ago.
The fact we can even have these conversations with a straight face is a win in itself.
Here's the final draw difficulty for 2024:Here's the final draw difficulty for 2023:
The Sea Eagles and Bulldogs with the toughest draws. The Warriors and Sharks with the easiest draws.
Team Games v Top 4 Games v Top 8 Games v Bottom 9 Games v Bottom 4 Total Opposition Ladder Positions Average Opposition Ladder Position Sea Eagles 6 13 11 6 205 8.54Bulldogs 5 12 12 4 206 8.58Dolphins 6 13 11 6 207 8.62Eels 7 12 12 6 208 8.67Cowboys 7 12 12 6 209 8.71Panthers 5 11 13 4 211 8.79Rabbitohs 7 13 11 7 211 8.79Tigers 5 11 13 5 214 8.92Roosters 7 10 14 5 214 8.92Dragons 5 12 12 5 215 8.96Broncos 5 10 14 5 220 9.17Storm 5 10 14 6 222 9.25Raiders 6 11 13 7 223 9.29Knights 6 11 13 6 224 9.33Titans 6 10 14 6 226 9.42Sharks 5 10 14 6 227 9.46Warriors 3 11 13 6 230 9.58
Team | Games v Top 4 | Games v Top 8 | Games v Bottom 9 | Games v Bottom 4 | Total Opposition Ladder Positions | Average Opposition Ladder Position |
Rabbitohs | 8 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 198 | 8.25 |
Warriors | 6 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 199 | 8.29 |
Eels | 7 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 202 | 8.42 |
Dragons | 7 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 205 | 8.54 |
Raiders | 6 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 207 | 8.62 |
Broncos | 7 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 207 | 8.62 |
Titans | 5 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 209 | 8.71 |
Tigers | 5 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 214 | 8.92 |
Bulldogs | 6 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 215 | 8.96 |
Knights | 6 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 217 | 9.04 |
Cowboys | 6 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 222 | 9.25 |
Dolphins | 5 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 224 | 9.33 |
Panthers | 4 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 226 | 9.42 |
Roosters | 4 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 227 | 9.46 |
Sea Eagles | 6 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 229 | 9.54 |
Storm | 5 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 231 | 9.62 |
Sharks | 3 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 240 | 10.00 |
Here's the final draw difficulty for 2024:
We had the toughest draw. The Sharks (surprise surprise) with the easiest draw.
Team Games v Top 4 Games v Top 8 Games v Bottom 9 Games v Bottom 4 Total Opposition Ladder Positions Average Opposition Ladder Position Rabbitohs 8 13 11 5 198 8.25Warriors 6 13 11 5 199 8.29Eels 7 13 11 5 202 8.42Dragons 7 13 11 6 205 8.54Raiders 6 14 10 5 207 8.62Broncos 7 12 12 7 207 8.62Titans 5 12 12 3 209 8.71Tigers 5 11 13 5 214 8.92Bulldogs 6 11 13 5 215 8.96Knights 6 10 14 6 217 9.04Cowboys 6 10 14 6 222 9.25Dolphins 5 11 13 6 224 9.33Panthers 4 11 13 6 226 9.42Roosters 4 10 14 6 227 9.46Sea Eagles 6 9 15 7 229 9.54Storm 5 10 14 6 231 9.62Sharks 3 9 15 7 240 10.00
There's no perfect way, which is why summing up the ladder position of each of your opponents is probably the fairest method.Is there a way to account for the fact that a team outside the 8 or inside the 8 affects the proportion of teams you play elsewhere? Like, there’s a certain self fulfilling prophecy to this way of looking at the draw strength isn’t there?
The fact the top 4 teams had the easiest draws says the numbers probably get skewed bad or good depending where you finish to some extent (if only marginally)?
If you make the 4, there are less teams you can actively compete against in the 4, etc.
There's no perfect way, which is why summing up the ladder position of each of your opponents is probably the fairest method.